Rent growth in California has slowed dramatically over the past three years according to recent data from Apartment List, a rental listing website. In June of 2015, California’s median rents were growing at a rate of 6.3% year-over-year. But current data shows that in June 2018, rents had grown just 2.2% year-over-year.
This trend is not unique to California, with nationwide rent growth currently standing at a rate of 1.5% (down from 3.6% in June of 2015). While the national median rent is still increasing, the rate of growth has been gradually decreasing over the past three years, with the biggest drop occurring over the past year.
At the national level, the sluggish rent growth can be partially attributed to an increase in the supply of new multi-family housing. In fact, cities with the highest multi-family construction spending per-capita, like Seattle, Denver and Portland, are currently showing some of the lowest rates of rent growth (-0.9%, +1.3% and -2.2%, respectively).
This correlation exists in California as well. Of California’s major cities, San Diego, San Francisco and San Jose had the highest per-capita spend on multi-family construction in 2016. Current year-over-year rent growth in those cities stands at 1.8%, 1.5% and 2.2%, respectively. The surge in multi-family housing construction has not only kept rents from soaring but also serves to alleviate the housing shortage and boost local economies.
Let’s take a closer look at which California cities have seen the biggest decline in annual rent growth.
As a whole, the Bay Area has experienced some of the most significant decreases in rent growth since 2015:
Major cities in Orange County have also experienced notable slowdowns in rent growth:
Two major cities in the Los Angeles metro area have experienced similar decreases in year-over-year rent growth:
While rent growth is certainly slowing down in these major California cities, median 2-bedroom rents are still higher than they were in 2015. Statewide, the median 2-bedroom rent prices have increased by $197 since 2015, reaching $1,842 in June, 2018.
Still, slower rent growth in California gives cost-burdened renters a little bit of breathing room. And if multi-family construction continues to increase in California, median rents may increase at a slower rate (or even decrease) like they have in Seattle, Denver, Dallas, and Portland.
Original article at: http://journal.firsttuesday.us/california-rent-growth-slowing-over-past-three-years/64810/
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